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Are Democrats likely to win the 2026 midterms?

Opposing

Trump is still widely popular with his republican base.

Trump is still widely popular with his republican base. Mobilising your base is one of the most important ways to win elections.

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Affirmative

While it is true that mobilising your base is very important for success, being able to win over independents is important too, and Trump is rapidly losing support among independents due to his handling of immigration, economy, and the Iran war.

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